Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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完成後抽有望重拾升勢

Monday, May 21, 2018 Views130

港股經過前周的急速上揚,上周呈現整固,恆指在上周一最高見到31593,周三最低回落至30819,周五收報31048,相對前周下跌了74點,跌幅0.2%.國指亦呈現先高後低走勢,在上周二最高見到12590,周五最低回落至12250,收報12355,按周上升10點,是連續第二周上升.

 

美股上周表現偏軟,道指和標準普爾500指數均連跌三周,周跌幅同為0.5%;納指按周下跌0.7%;但反映小型股表現的羅素2000指數卻連升三周,周升幅達1.3%,是自今年1月以來的最長升勢.債息持續攀升,對美股構成一定壓力.美國十年期國債孳息一直徘徊於3.1厘的近七年高位,而三十年期國債孳息更升至2015年6月以來的最高水平.另外,市場關注中美貿易談判進展,令觀望氣氛增濃.不過,中美雙方在上周六發表聯合聲明,意味貿易戰停火,應利好股市.

 

A股延續前周升勢,上周繼續上揚,上證綜指逼近3200,而滬深300亦重越3900.在中美貿易戰停火的利好因素承托下,相信本周A股可繼續上揚.另一方面,A股入摩成分股落定,234隻A股將分兩步被納入MSCI新興市場指數,預計將為A股帶來千億增量資金.

 

說回港股,恆指上周先升後回,但仍守穩100天線之上,可視為前周升破100天線後的後抽,同時亦補回前周出現的三個上升裂口其中兩個,令走勢更為健康.相信在完成後抽和補裂口行動後,本周恆指可重拾升勢,挑戰31500-31600阻力區.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.
 

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