Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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考驗能否守住廿天線

Monday, September 11, 2017 Views3399

港股上周反覆走低,恆指在上周三最低見到27422,周五收報27668,和上周比較,下跌了285點,跌幅1%,結束了連續三周的升勢.國指上周五收報11150,按周下跌了1.2%,是連續第二周下跌。

美股上周亦表現偏軟,主要受到北亞地緣政治局勢緊張及颶風威脅所影響,道指上周五收報21797,按周下跌了0.9%;納指和標普500指數則分別下跌1.2%和0.6%。特朗普總統簽署了提高債務上限法案,消除了一大不明朗因素。另一方面,聯儲局官員相繼發表鴿派言論,令加息預期降溫,帶動債息回落,美國十年期國債孳息下跌至2.06%,同時亦加深美元匯價跌勢,美元指數跌至91.329水平。

相對港股和美股,A股上周表現尚算平穩,上證綜指曾逼近3400,周五收報3365,按周僅下跌2點;滬深300收報3825,按周下跌了17點,跌幅0.4%;深證成指收報10970,按周升0.8%。由於美元持續弱勢,人民幣兌美元匯率中間價連升十日,再創2016年5月12日以來最高水平。不過,人民幣匯率走高,卻對出口構成一定影響。據海关關統計,8月份中國進出口總總值同比增長10.1%。其中,出口增長6.9%,低於預期的8.7%增幅,而進口則增長14.4%,貿易順差2865億元,收窄14%。

說回港股,恆指9RSI在前周明顯減弱,顯示上升動力不足。上周恆指失守了10天線,並曾下破20天線,9RSI亦曾下破50中軸。估計本周恆指將繼續考騐能否守住20天線以上。若20天線確認失守,下一步將回補8月22日的上升裂口,該上升裂口介於27221和27312之間。

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益。
 

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