Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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回補下跌裂口

Monday, August 19, 2019 Views438
港股延續下行態勢,恆指一度跌穿25000,上周四見到24900,周五收報25734,相對前上周仍下跌了205點,跌幅0.8%,是連續第四周下跌..國指亦連跌四周,並失守一萬大關,上周四最低見到9732,周五收報9964,按周下跌0.3.
 
A股卻止跌回穩,上證綜指重越2800,上周五收報2823,相對前周上升了1.8%;滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升2.1%和3%.雖然上周公布的經濟數據包括固定資產投資、房地產開發投資和銷售社會消費品零售總額,都顯示中國經濟增長進一步放緩,但美國推遲對中國部分產品徵收關稅,為股市帶來支持.另一方面,人民銀行上周連續五日進行逆回購,加上開展了4000億元人民幣中期借貸便利操作,全周淨投放3170億元.
 
美股方面,由於兩年期及十年期國債孳息曲線出現倒掛,引發市場對經濟衰退的憂慮,令美股上周出現大幅波動,道瓊斯工業平均指數在上周三單日大幅下瀉800點,最低見到25471,周五收報25886,按周下跌1.5%,是連續第三周下跌.不過,上周公布的美國經濟數據如零售銷售及生產力仍表現穩健.
 
說回港股,恆指上周四最低見到24900,接近今年1月3日見到的年內低位24897.恆指創出近期新低後再次進入反彈階段,上周五高位回升近10天線(25782).觀乎恆指9天相對強弱指數回升至30水平,加上恆指陰陽燭日線圖出現連續兩支大陽燭,相信反彈有望持續,料可補回上周二的下跌裂口.該下跌裂口闊208點,介於25825和25617之間.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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