Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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掉頭下試50天線

Monday, June 29, 2020 Views2671

上周指出配合100天線隨隨下降,恆指料可較輕易地升越100天線,再挑戰25000.結果恆指在上周二重越100天線,周三最高見到25071,但未能企穩25000之上,周五再次落回100天線以下,收報24550,相對前周下跌了94點,跌幅0.4%.國指上周三曾重越一萬大關,最高見到10057,周五收報9853,周跌幅為1.2%.

 
A股由於端午節假期,上周只有三個交易日,上證綜指上周三收報2979,按周上升0.4%;滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升1%和1.2%.上周中國沒有經濟數據公布,資金面方面,人民銀行上周累計開展5000億元逆回購操作,因上周無逆回購到期,故實現淨投放5000億元.6月25日和26日共有1200億元逆回購到期,因端午節順延至6月28日.
 
美股上周表現相當波動,主要由於美國多州疫情反彈,最嚴重的德薩斯阿拉巴馬佛羅里達北卡羅來納等州每日新增病例在上周均超過歷史峰值.另一方面,美國聯邦儲備委員會公布的銀行壓力測試結果顯示,新冠疫情對大型銀行產生不同程度的衝擊,少數銀行可能面臨資本不足的潛在風險,因此聯儲局要求大型銀行採取第三季暫停股票回購並限制派息等行動,以確保資本充足,消息亦對美股帶來沽壓.經滔數據方面,美國勞工部數據顯示,最新一周首次新申領失業救濟金人數為148萬人,雖然連續14周超過100萬人,但已是連續第12周下降,顯示勞動力市場自5月以來有所改善.
 
說回港股,恆指現時形成個收窄三角形,並且呈現四線匯聚.由於上企100天線失敗,未來可能掉頭下試50天線支持,該線現時處於24150附近,若然失守,將下探23700.

 

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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