Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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回補上升裂口走勢更為健康

Monday, January 25, 2021 Views3496
上周評論指出,恆指料將補回去年1月21日的下跌裂口(該下跌裂口闊303點,介於28795和28492之間),並將上試去年1月高位29175.結果恆指在上周一成功補回這個上升裂口,並繼續上揚,先後突破29000和30000兩個整數關口,上周四最高見到30136,是2019年4月17日以來的最高位.周五大市呈現回吐,恆指最低見到29414,收報29448,相對前周上升了874點,升幅超過3%,是連續第四周上升.國指在上周四一度上破12000,最高見到12006,是自2018年6月13日以來的最高位,周五收報11677,按周上升3.1%,也是連續第四周上升.
 
A股上周亦顯著上揚,上證綜指重越3600,上周五收報3606,按周上升1.1%;滬深300按周上升2%,而深證成指周升幅更接近4%.中國2020年全年經濟數據出爐,第四季經濟增長6.5%,比第三季度4.9%增速進一步加快,全年經濟增長率達到2.3%,經濟總量首次突破100萬億,在世界經濟中份額進一步攀升,由2019年的16.3%上升至17%左右.今年中國經濟增速預計8%至9%.
 
 
美股上周再創歷史新高後呈現回吐,道指上周五收報30997,按周上升0.6%;標準普爾500指數和納指周升幅更分別達到1.9%和4.2%.美國候任財長耶倫表示,美國政府必須採取進一步行動增加對經濟的支持,以應對新冠疫情造成的衰退危機,意味美國政府將採取擴張性財政政策,將令美國的赤字和債務水平進一步上升,從而推高美國國債孳息水平.
 

說回港股,恆指不但補回了去年1月21日的下跌裂口,同時亦補回了2019年5月6日的下跌裂口(該下跌裂口闊259點,介於29643和29384之間),下一目標可望挑戰2019年4月15日高位30280.不過,在挑戰此高位前,料會先作整固才能企穩30000點.如能補回上周二的上升裂口(該上升裂口闊236點,介於28864和29100之間),走勢將更為健康.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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