Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
Phone:
2277 6666

守穩50天線有望築底

Monday, March 8, 2021 Views2650
上周評論指出,如果恆指調整最近兩個月升浪(由去年12月22日低位25999升至2月18日高位31183)的二分一,將見到28590,即有機會回試50天線的支持.由於市場關注未來通脹和利率變動趨勢,令環球股市維持震盪.港股上周繼續反覆下行,恆指在上周五曾再度失守29000,最低見到28513,收報29098,但相對前周仍上升了118點,升幅0.4%.國指在上周五一度跌近11000,最低見到11052,收報11292,按周上升0.4%.
 
A股方面,上證綜指上周曾多次下破3500,上周五最低見到3456,收報3501,按周微跌8點;滬深300和深證成指按周分別下跌1.4%和0.7%.經濟數據方面,2月份中國官方製造業採購經理指數(PMI)為50.6,比1月份回落0.7個百分點,而服務業PMI則比1月份回落0.3個百分點至50.8.2月份財新中國製造業與服務業PMI亦雙雙下降,分別為50.9和51.5.雖然如此,四個PMI仍保持在50榮枯分界線以上,顯示中國整體生產及服務業經營活動仍保持溫和增長,只是增速有所放緩.

美股方面,美國十年期國債孳息一度升逾1.6%,加上聯儲局主席鮑威爾未對債息攀升給出任何行動信號,令市場感到失望,為美股帶來沽壓,道指一度失守31000,但可幸美國就業數據表現強勁,為美股帶來支持,道指上周五收報31496,按周上升1.8%,而標準普爾500指數則上升0.8%.不過,高估值的納指仍面對較大回吐壓力,周跌幅達到2.1%.

說回港股,恆指上周五最低見到28513,一度下破50天線,但收市扳回29000以上,令50天線失而復得.另一方面,9天相對強弱指數開始呈現底背馳,顯示沽售壓力開始有所收斂.若未來能守穩50天線,相信開始進入築底階段.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
Top of Page
Contact Us
Please contact your account executive or call us now.
Research Department
Tel : (852) 2277 6846
Fax : (852) 2277 6565
Email : businessenquiry@phillip.com.hk

Enquiry & Support
Branches
The Complaint Procedures
About Us
Phillip Securities Group
Join Us
Phillip Network
Phillip Post
Phillip Channel
Latest Promotion
E-Check
Login
Investor Notes
Free Subscribe
Contact Us