Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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再挑戰50天線

Monday, September 13, 2021 Views3296
上周評論指出,恆指自7月初展開跌浪以來,每次反彈都受制於20天線,但這一次反彈卻能成功突破20天線,並已連續三日企於其上,加上10天線有望升越20天線,形成黃金交叉,相信這一波反彈有望上試26500.恆指在上周三最高到26560,為自8月12日以來的最高位.周四卻大幅下跌超過600點,落回26000以下.幸好在周五回升近500點,重越26000,當日收報26206,相對前周上升了304點,升幅1.2%,是連續第三周上升.國指上周五收報9387,按周上升1%,也是連續第三周上升.科指上周五收報6748,按周上升0.4%,雖然也是連續第三周上升,但升勢有所放緩.
 
 
A股上周顯著上揚,上證綜指突破3700,上周五,收報3703,按周上升3.4%.滬深300和深證成指按周分別上升3.5%和4.2%.大市成交亦見放量,滬深兩市上周五合共成交超過15000億元.經濟數據方面,8月份中國進出口按美元計價同比增長28.8%.其中,出口增長25.6%,進口增長33.1%,貿易順差583.4億美元,同比增加2.2%.不過,CPI與PPI的剪刀差繼續擴闊.其中,8月份全國居民消費價格同比上漲0.8%,總體表現平穩.另一方面,8月份全國工業生產者出廠價格上漲9.5%,漲幅比7月份進一步擴大.
 
美股方面,由於擔心新冠肺炎疫情加劇會拖慢經濟復甦,加上8月份生產物價指數同比上漲8.3%,高於7月份的7.8%漲幅,是自2010年11月有紀錄以來的新高,顯示通脹仍處高位,為股市帶來沽壓.道指上周下跌2.2%,是連續第二周下跌;納指和標準普爾500指數周跌幅分別為1.6%和1.7%.
 

說回港股,恆指上周受制於50天線阻力,卻守住10天和20天線,9天相對強弱指數(RSI)50中軸亦失而復得,相信反彈仍將持續,本周料可再挑戰50天線,該線現時已下降至26420水平,今次升破的概率將有所提升.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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