Market Brief

The articles are produced in Chinese only.

Author

黎健聰先生 (Keith Lai)
高級交易員

現任職輝立高級交易員,對投資股票、期貨、期權、商品、債券、基金交易經驗豐富。本人樂意為客戶提供投資分析及買賣策略。歡迎各位來電交流心得。
Phone:
36670668

黃金大牛市動起來

Tuesday, July 12, 2016 Views5569

黃金大牛市動起來

1)環球金融市場不穩定

2)英國脫歐後對歐洲信貸風險將升温,或引致歐洲再加大量寬

3)預計對各國貨幣進入零息及負利率而產生對貨幣的不信任風險

4)南海局勢的地原政治升温

以上四點也令黃金發揮避險資產作用。

故令黃金價值自2011年9月高位$1920.74下跌及在2013年4月跌穿$1535後正式進入熊市下跌後,直至2015年12月3日跌至 $1046.18,高位下跌 $874.56後,在近三個月金融市場轉差情況加劇,引致投資者對黃金價值的需求上升及作避險,而急速反彈。

在今年2月5日升穿250天牛熊分界線及升穿短期下跌通道頂部$1230,在5月升至$1303後回調至$1200,因英國脫歐引發資金避險使黃金金價突破$1280至$1303大阻力區間後升至(上次計算的低位反彈跌幅 $874.56 黃金比率 0.382 計反彈 $334.08為約 $1380

連結:http://www.poems.com.hk/zh-hk/research-and-analysis/market-brief/?id=9233&writerID=10182)附近$1375後回調。故相信在黃金大牛市下回調後可再向上突破。

建議買入8月紐約期金:
分段買入價$1341(10天線)及$1305(20天線附近及英脫歐後6月28日回調低位支持)

短倉止賺:前高位$1375
長倉止賺:反彈跌幅 $874.56 黃金比率 0.5 計反彈
$437.28為約 $1483。

止蝕:1283(以買入平均價$1323的3%及升穿大阻力區後變成支持區低部附近)

資料來源:www.netdania.com

本人黎健聰為證監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益。

This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
Top of Page
Contact Us
Please contact your account executive or call us now.
Research Department
Tel : (852) 2277 6846
Fax : (852) 2277 6565
Email : businessenquiry@phillip.com.hk

Enquiry & Support
Branches
The Complaint Procedures
About Us
Phillip Securities Group
Join Us
Phillip Network
Phillip Post
Phillip Channel
Latest Promotion
E-Check
Login
Investor Notes
Free Subscribe
Contact Us