Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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下試50天線支持

Monday, March 25, 2024 Views1147

上周評論指出,恆指回試100天線,可能是升破100線的後抽,而完成後抽後,仍有望再上試17000.恆指在上周四一度升近17000,最高見到16974,可惜周五大幅回落,最低見到16342,收報16499,相對前周下跌了222點,跌幅1.3%;國指和科指按周分別下跌1.1%和2.6%.滬深股市上周先升後回,兩市成交連續五個交易日過萬億.上證綜指按周微跌6點,深證成指周跌幅0.5%.上周公布的1-2月份中國經濟數據大多數好於預期,顯示經濟呈現改善.

美股方面,聯儲局議息會議維持利率不變,鮑威爾重申今年減息三次的預期,刺激美股三大指數齊齊創出歷史新高,雖然道指和標準普爾500指數在上周五呈現回吐,但按周仍分別上升了2%和2.3%,納指周升幅更達到2.9%.瑞士央行上周意外宣布減息25個基點,成為G10首個歷經長期高通脹後減息的發達經濟體,增強投資者的減息預期.現時市場相信,今年6月美聯儲,歐央行和英倫央行齊齊減息的機會率高達八成.但預期能否兌現,仍看經濟數據.本周焦點將包括周四公布的美國第四季國內生產總值(GDP)修訂值和最新一周首次申領失業救濟金人數,以及周五公布的2月份個人消費支出(PCE)物價指數,市場預期2月份核心PCE月升幅將由1月份的0.4%放緩至0.3%.

說回港股,由於復活節假期,本周只有四個交易日.恆指上周在100天線上下波動,缺乏方向.本周期指結算,波動性可能加劇.恆指低位呈現下移趨勢,加上9天相對強弱指數再次失守50中軸,本周恆指可能下試50天線支持,該線現時處於16200附近.

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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