Futures Focus

Author

衍生工具部 (Derivatives)
輝立期貨

Phone:
852 2277 6622

重要經濟資料與事件概覽

Monday, February 13, 2017 Views1126

加拿大統計局週四公佈,12月新屋價格指數月升0.1%,低於加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)訪調經濟師預期的月升0.2%,最大城市多倫多房價連續22個月的漲勢中斷是主因,與前月相比沒有漲跌;相較前年同期,12月新屋價格指數上漲3%。RBC預期,房市恐成今年加拿大經濟成長的絆腳石。
 
美國2月4日當周首次申請失業救濟人數23.4萬,預期24.9萬,前值24.6萬。美國1月28日當周續請失業救濟人數207.8萬,預期205.8萬,前值206.4萬修正為206.3萬。路透評:美國2月4日當周首次申請失業救濟人數意外降至近三個月低位23.4萬,仍處於1973年以來最低水準附近,並已連續101周低於30萬門檻,為1970年以來最長周數,表明美國就業市場非常強勁,處於或接近充分就業狀態;波動更小的首申失業金人數四周均值下降3750人,至24.43萬人,創1973年11月以來新低;就業市場進一步收緊可能提振薪資更快速上漲
 
美國商務部(DOC)週四公佈最新資料顯示,美國12月批發庫存月率連續第二個月上漲,批發銷售月率漲幅創2011年以來最大,展現出企業對經濟前景更具信心。具體資料顯示,美國12月批發庫較前月增長1.0%,預估為增長1.0%,11月為增長1.0%。路透點評稱,美國12月批發庫存月率連續第二個月上漲,批發銷售月率漲幅創2011年以來最大,表明隨著美國國內需求趨於強勁,企業對經濟表現更有信心;但去年第四季度庫存大幅增加,也表明近期庫存增速將放緩,或使2017年初美國經濟承壓。
 
1月27日,特朗普簽署行政令,暫停伊朗、伊拉克、敘利亞、利比亞、索馬利亞、蘇丹以及葉門七個穆斯林國家的移民入境以及簽證發放,為期90天,還宣佈在4個月內禁止所有難民進入美國。而昨日(2月9日),聯邦上訴法院重挫白宮,宣佈暫時停止美國總統唐納德·特朗普簽署的臨時移民禁令,認為美國司法部的觀點“和我們憲政民主的基本框架是背道而馳的”。裁決作出後,特朗普立馬做出回應,在推特上用大寫的英文表示:“法庭見,我們國家的安全已經到了危險時刻。”
 
美元指數分析
 
上星期四美元指數上漲0.34%,收於100.60。四小時圖上,美元指數在突破下跌趨勢線後,處於橫盤整理階段,MACD指標金叉向上運行,表明短期美元指數可能再次走強,隨著美國經濟的穩定表現,也將支撐強勢美元繼續上漲。

Risk disclosure statement and disclaimers of Trading Futures and Options
The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or options is substantial.  In some circumstances, you may sustain losses in excess of your initial margin funds.  Placing contingent orders, such as “stop-loss” or: stop-limit” orders, will not necessarily avoid loss.  Market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.  There is a possibility that any stop-loss order may be cancelled by a futures exchange due to various reasons including where orders are ‘out of price limits’ during a fluctuating market.  You should closely monitor your orders, as we may be unable to contact you in the event of cancellation.  You may be called upon at short notice to deposit additional margin funds.  If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated.  You will remain liable for any resulting deficit in your account.  You should therefore study and understand futures contracts and options before you trade and carefully consider whether such trading is suitable in the light of your own financial position and investment objectives.  If you trade options you should inform yourself of exercise and expiration procedures and your rights and obligations upon exercise or expiry. You should study carefully the Disclosure Statements of Local Futures on our website

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