Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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回補下跌裂口及收復10天和100天線

Monday, July 15, 2019 Views754

港股恆指上周一裂口低開,主要受美國6月份非農就業數據好於預期影響,周二進一步下跌,見到28081全周最低位.之後逐步回升,周五最高見到28604,收報28472,與上周比較仍下跌了303點,跌幅約1%.國指在上周二最低見到10632,周五收報10788,按周亦下跌約1%.


A股上周亦表現偏軟,上證綜指失守3000點,上周五收報2930,按周下跌2.7%,周線呈現三連陰;滬深300及深證成指按周分別下跌2.2%和2.4%.數據方面,中國6月份居民消費價格(CPI)同比上漲2.7%,連續四個月超2%,高於市場預期的2.6%漲幅;6月份工業生產者出廠價格(PPI)同比持平,環比下降0.3%,或對未來一段時間的工業企業利潤構成壓力.個別A股出現爆雷事件,加上市場人士關注科創板正式開市對A股市場整體流動性的影響,令觀望氣氛轉濃.


相對於港股和A股,美股呈現明顯強勢,三大指數上周相繼創出新高.道指上周五收報27332,相對前周上升1.5%;標準普爾500指數和納指按周分別上升0.8%和1%.雖然美國6月份非農就業數據和通脹數據都好於預期,但美國聯儲局主席鮑威爾上周連續兩日在美國國會作證,釋放出鴿派言論,為美股帶來利好刺激.


說回港股,恆指日線圖在上周一出現了一個闊174點的下跌裂口,介於28715和28541之間,上周五補回一小部分.技術上,暫仍受制於10天線和100天線的阻力.現時10天線和100天線分別處於28540和28630水平.估計本周恆指會嘗試收復10天和100天線,以及補回上周一的下跌裂口.但值得注意的是,港股步入業績公布期,而近期又有不少公司發出盈警,將制約港股升勢.

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.
 

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