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Peak Sport (1968.HK) - Improvement of Retail Outlet Efficiency Supports Continued Growth

Friday, May 13, 2016 Views8713
Peak Sport(1968)
Recommendation on  13 May 2016
Recommendation Buy
Price on Recommendation Date $1.830
Target Price $2.250

"Star Strategy" Gains Significant Achievements and Growing Profits

The revenue of Peak Sport in 2015 increased by 9.4% compared with 2014, to RMB3.11 billion, mainly thanks to revenue growth in both Chinese (11.2%) and international markets (3.1%). The international sales income amounted to RMB670million, accounting for 21.6% of the total revenue, making Peak sport gain the best percentage of overseas sales in total revenue among Chinese sports brands. In terms of product types, three types of products achieved steady growth in revenue, especially footwear products. The specialized R&D experience in basketball shoes and sponsor for professional running events contributed to the popularity of basketball and running shoes, resulting in a revenue growth of 16.1%. Besides, revenue of apparel and accessories rose respectively by 4.3% and 19.1%.

As for profitability, both the gross profit and gross profit margin grew by different degrees. The gross profit increased by 11.4% to RMB1.202 billion, and the gross profit margin grew by 0.7% to 38.7% with a 8% decrease in sales and distribution expenses. The profit attributable to shareholders also grew to nearly RMB392 million, up by 22.3%, while the net profit margin grew by 1.3% to 12.6%. The substantial growth in profit was attributed to the successful marketing of "Star Strategy". The earning per share was RMB0.18; the annual dividends paid were RMB0.13 per share, with a YoY increase of 25%.

"Channel Flattening" Strategy Facilitates Improvement of Retail Outlet Efficiency

The Company has been carrying out the "Channel Flattening" strategy to positively adjust and increase the number of distributors, aiming at the efficiency improvement at retail terminals. In respect of off-line sales, Peak totally authorized 5,999 retail outlets in 2015, 5 less than the same period in last year. The number of Chinese distributors, however, increased from 88 to 100. Comparing with 2014, the average revenue of retail outlets in the China region increased by 11.5% in 2015 and the revenue per square meter of retail floor area saw a growth of 12.5%. All these figures represented a gradual enhancement of the operational efficiency of the Company's retail network.

Sports Ecosystem Building Accelerates Transformation

Peak will streamline the operation of its official group-buying website, deepen its strengths in the basketball sector, and plan for expanding into businesses such as sports stars management, sports events sponsor, fitness camps and training programs in the future. Investment in technology development and talent resources will continue so as to transform the Company from a sportswear manufacturer into a comprehensive sports solution provider. Up to now, Peak has launched "PEAK+", a public platform for events promotion and application, communicated with many international sports organizations, events owners, domestic sports authorities and Chinese cities, expanded its recruitment of sports talents, planned to organize and undertake several international sports events and started building up its own training network for basketball, football, tennis and other sports.

Valuation and Rating

The sportswear sector has entered into a new round of growth as supported by China's policies and spurred by changes in people's lifestyles. It is predicted that both the profitability of retail outlets and market shares of the Peak will continue growing, thanks to the integration of marketing resources, optimizing of sales network, enhancement of product R&D and strengthened presence in second and third-tier cities. We give the Company an estimation of 10.5x PE in 2016 and the target price is HKD2.25. Also, the "Buy" rating is given. (Closing price as at 11 May 2016)

Risk Warnings

Exchange rate fluctuations;

Increased competition in second and third-tier cities;

Higher costs caused by marketing and promotion.

Financials

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This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
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