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Galaxy Entertainment Group (27.HK) - Top pick of the gambling sector in Macau

Wednesday, April 16, 2014 Views2909
Galaxy Entertainment Group(27)
Recommendation on  16 April 2014
Recommendation Accumulate
Price on Recommendation Date $68.700
Target Price $78.000

Summary

Thanks to the increase in gaming revenues of Galaxy Macao and Star World Macao, the company has earned HKD 66.032 billion in 2013, a 16.4% growth compared with the same period of last year.

For the whole year, the adjusted EBITDA of the company has a 28% growth on a year-on-year basis to HKD 12.58 billion . This is mainly due to the significant rise of 36% in the adjusted EBITDA of Galaxy Macao, which led a steady development of the group. In 2013, the profit attributable to shareholders has increased by 36.2% on a year-on-year basis to HKD 10.05 billion . The company announced to giving a special dividend of 0.7 HKD per share.

Galaxy Macao is located in the Flagship Resort of Cotai region. Its period's earning was HKD 40 billion , a 21% growth year on year, and accounted for 60.6% of the gross revenue. Therein, the gaming revenue of VIP hall has increased to HKD 26.5 billion , a 15% growth year on year; the revenue of center field has soared to HKD 10.46 billion , a 44% growth year on year; and the revenue of the slot machine has added to HKD 1.52 billion , a 25% growth year on year. In addition, the non-gaming revenue of Galaxy Macao has reached HKD1.5 billion , which is basically flat with that of 2012. During the period, the average occupancy rate of three five-star hotels in the resort is 98%.

The annual revenue of Star World Macao——another core project of the company——has increased to HKD 23.5 billion , a 9% growth year on year, which accounted for 35.6% of the total revenue. This mainly resulted from the excellent performance of the center field business. During the period, the gaming revenue of VIP hall has increased by 4% to HKD 19.08 billion ; the center field has soared by 59% year on year to HKD 3.86 billion ; while the slot machine has decreased by 15% year on year to HKD 0.21 billion . Furthermore, during the period, the non-gaming revenue has decreased by 12.5% year on year to HKD 0.364 billion; while the occupancy rate has still maintained at 99%.

Last year, the revenue of the fourth quarter as well as EBITDA increased by 16% and 10% quarter on quarter to 18.9 billion and 3.55 billion respectively, consistent with the market expectation. Overall, the market share of the fourth quarter in 2013 has risen from 0.6% to 19.1%. In the first two months of 2014, the market share has increased further to 20.6%.

The open-up of the second phase of Galaxy Macao will hopefully lead to another torrent of business increasing. However, the growing rate is expected to be slower than that of the first phase because of the industry factor that the growing rate of gaming revenue of Macao will fall back to normal. The third and fourth phase of Galaxy Macao as well as the vacation project of Hengqin Island will become the source of profit-growing in the middle of this year.

We believe that Galaxy Entertainment Group is the best choice of gaming stock of Macao owing to its excellent power of execution of the management, relatively high asset quality and energetic mid-and-long term profit growing force. On account of its continued positive development, the further decreased liability and our long-term optimistic expectation of the future of the company, we give the group the rank of "Accumulate", and the target price of 78 HKD of 12 months which equals to 24.6 times of the anticipated PE ratio of 2014.

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This report is produced and is being distributed in Hong Kong by Phillip Securities Group with the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) licence under Phillip Securities (HK) LTD and/ or Phillip Commodities (HK) LTD (“Phillip”). Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip believed to be accurate. Phillip does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The information is for informative purposes only and is not intended to or create/induce the creation of any binding legal relations. The information provided do not constitute investment advice, solicitation, purchase or sell any investment product(s). Investments are subject to investment risks including possible loss of the principal amount invested. You should refer to your Financial Advisor for investment advice based on your investment experience, financial situation, any of your particular needs and risk preference. For details of different product's risks, please visit the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk. Phillip (or employees) may have positions/ interests in relevant investment products. Phillip (or one of its affiliates) may from time to time provide services for, or solicit services or other business from, any company mentioned in this report. The above information is owned by Phillip and protected by copyright and intellectual property Laws. It may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written consent from Phillip.
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