Futures Focus

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衍生工具部 (Derivatives)
輝立期貨

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852 2277 6622

重要經濟資料與事件概覽

Thursday, June 22, 2017 Views1523

6月22日,紐約時段,市場迎來一系列重要的美國資料考驗,美國的初請失業金數、房價指數以及諮商會領先指標向來都能給美元短線走勢帶來較大波動。另外,美聯儲理事鮑威爾還會在參議院作證,投資者留意鮑威爾的言論。

紐元市場:

 北京時間週四(6月22日)05:00紐西蘭聯儲6月決議維持利率於1.75%不變,符合市場預期,決議聲明的內容較為中性,不過對未來經濟增長給出了信心。

 紐西蘭聯儲6月決議按兵不動,整體基調與5月類似。顯而易見的是,其貨幣政策立場仍為中性。仍預計將于明年收緊貨幣政策,因預計紐西蘭經濟將逐步增長,不過紐西蘭聯儲對經濟的觀點與此略有出入,在通脹全面上漲前,其料不會採取行動。

 市場原本預期紐西蘭聯儲會進一步口頭打壓紐元,但紐西蘭聯儲僅表示,“匯率降低將有助於經濟增長前景恢復平衡。”

 與此同時,紐西蘭聯儲重申,將在“相當長時期內”保持寬鬆政策。紐西蘭經濟第一季度僅增長0.5%,令市場倍感失望。

 即便如此,紐西蘭聯儲對前景仍持樂觀看法,稱低利率和2017年預算將説明提高家庭收入和基建支出。

 日內花旗(Citi)分析師指出,“紐西蘭聯儲主席惠勒並未表示,匯價下跌是恢復平衡‘所必需的’,這種微妙的立場可能令部分投資者感到意外。”

家聲稱,“紐西蘭聯儲聲明比一些投資者原先預期的溫和程度略低一些,紐西蘭聯儲下一步舉措將是在明年第一季度升息。”

本交易日目前紐元/美元則大幅上漲,盤初一度飆漲至0.7270高位,目前繼續維持上行行情。因日內稍早紐西蘭聯儲(RBNZ)宣佈維持指標利率於紀錄低位元不變,但政策聲明基調不像市場空頭原本預期的那麼溫和。

澳元市場:

日內澳洲國民銀行(NAB)外匯技術分析師簡要分析,周線圖上看,近期澳元/美元呈現看漲反轉格局,目前已對多月以來的下行趨勢產生積極影響,因圖形顯示澳元長期下跌動能似乎耗盡,並出現反轉態勢。

Risk disclosure statement and disclaimers of Trading Futures and Options
The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or options is substantial.  In some circumstances, you may sustain losses in excess of your initial margin funds.  Placing contingent orders, such as “stop-loss” or: stop-limit” orders, will not necessarily avoid loss.  Market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.  There is a possibility that any stop-loss order may be cancelled by a futures exchange due to various reasons including where orders are ‘out of price limits’ during a fluctuating market.  You should closely monitor your orders, as we may be unable to contact you in the event of cancellation.  You may be called upon at short notice to deposit additional margin funds.  If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated.  You will remain liable for any resulting deficit in your account.  You should therefore study and understand futures contracts and options before you trade and carefully consider whether such trading is suitable in the light of your own financial position and investment objectives.  If you trade options you should inform yourself of exercise and expiration procedures and your rights and obligations upon exercise or expiry. You should study carefully the Disclosure Statements of Local Futures on our website

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