Futures Focus

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衍生工具部 (Derivatives)
輝立期貨

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重要經濟資料與事件

Friday, July 21, 2017 Views2148

歐元區

昨日晚間(20號)歐洲央行公佈利率決議,維持主要利率不變,維持主要再融資利率0、隔夜貸款利率0.25%、隔夜存款利率-0.4%不變,月度購債規模保持在600億歐元,符合預期。利率決議公佈後,歐元/美元短線下挫15點。

歐洲央行行長德拉吉當天在新聞發佈會上說,為使歐元區通脹率達到低於但接近2%的目標,歐洲央行在維持當前的經濟刺激政策上必須要有“耐心”。

歐盟統計局資料顯示,歐元區6月份年化通脹率從5月份的1.4%降至1.3%,為今年初以來最低水準。

但德國多次批評歐洲央行的超寬鬆貨幣政策。德國央行行長魏德曼曾表示,由歐洲央行和各成員國央行組成的歐元系統最終可能迫於政治壓力,使超寬鬆貨幣政策延續的時間過長,超出其必要性。

目前,市場普遍預期歐洲央行將在今年下半年釋放明確的退出超寬鬆貨幣政策的信號。

 

英國

週四(7月20日)歐洲時段公佈的英國6月零售銷售資料好於預期,英鎊短線拉升30餘點至1.3018後回落;資料表明6月英國零售業活動明顯復蘇,料將抵消此前糟糕的6月CPI資料的部分不良影響,故短線提振英鎊。根據英國統計局的資料,6月份英國零售銷售上升0.6%,高於此前分析師預期的0.4%,5月份曾下跌1.2%。這意味著在通脹持續侵蝕家庭收入的情況下,消費者支出仍保持堅挺。

英國統計局高級統計學家Kate Davies稱:“今日的零售銷售資料顯示出總體的上漲趨勢。特別溫暖的6月份促進了服裝銷售的強勁,彌補了食品和燃油銷售的下跌。”“從季度資料來看,基本趨勢為上升,但由於一季度的下跌,2017年上半年相對持平。”

 美國

昨日(20號)晚間,美國公佈7月15日當周首次申請失業救濟人數。美國7月15日當周首次申請失業救濟人數為23.3萬,創近五個月新低,預期 24.5萬,前值 24.7萬修正為24.8萬。美國7月8日當周續請失業救濟人數 197.7萬,預期 194.9萬,前值 194.5萬修正為194.9萬。

另外,昨日晚間美國諮商會公佈,美國6月諮商會經濟領先指標(LEI)連升十個月,且按月升幅加快至0.6%(前值略下修僅維持升0.2%),報127.8,屢創逾十年高,升幅也超過市場預期0.4%。期內,同步指標(CEI)連升五個月,按月續升0.2%(前值升幅略加快至0.3%),報115.5;滯後指標(LAG)按月升幅再度略加快至0.2%,報124.4。

Risk disclosure statement and disclaimers of Trading Futures and Options
The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or options is substantial.  In some circumstances, you may sustain losses in excess of your initial margin funds.  Placing contingent orders, such as “stop-loss” or: stop-limit” orders, will not necessarily avoid loss.  Market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.  There is a possibility that any stop-loss order may be cancelled by a futures exchange due to various reasons including where orders are ‘out of price limits’ during a fluctuating market.  You should closely monitor your orders, as we may be unable to contact you in the event of cancellation.  You may be called upon at short notice to deposit additional margin funds.  If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated.  You will remain liable for any resulting deficit in your account.  You should therefore study and understand futures contracts and options before you trade and carefully consider whether such trading is suitable in the light of your own financial position and investment objectives.  If you trade options you should inform yourself of exercise and expiration procedures and your rights and obligations upon exercise or expiry. You should study carefully the Disclosure Statements of Local Futures on our website

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