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衍生工具部 (Derivatives)
輝立期貨

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金價跌近10月低位

Thursday, December 1, 2016 Views994

美國方面及昨日走勢

國際現貨黃金週三(11月30日)  大跌20美元,逼近1170關鍵支撐,至10個月新低。“小非農”ADP就業資料遠超預期,進一步落實美聯儲加息預期,美元再度發力上攻,黃金11月創三年最大跌幅。

 

美市在強勁資料打壓下,金價快速下滑,不斷刷新前低,多頭潰敗,錄得日內低點1170.35美元/盎司後小幅反彈,再轉底部盤整,終收于1173.15美元/盎司,跌幅為1.3%

 

美國COMEX 2月黃金期貨電子盤價格週三(11月30日)收盤下跌15.90美元,跌幅1.34%,報1172.00美元/盎司,金價週三跌至近10個月低位,將本月跌幅進一步擴大,因美國經濟資料強勁,美債收益率走高,提振美元上漲,進一步夯實12月升息預期。本月金價可能錄得逾三年來的最大月度跌幅。

 

市場和機構評論

貴金屬策略師Georgette Boele在週三(11月30日)發佈的報告中稱,週三紐約2月期金最後的交易價位是1175.70美元/盎司,跌幅為1.27%,結束在三年來最差的月份,任何的上漲都會導致更多的拋壓,投資者正在從今年年初設立的多倉中撤退。

 

荷蘭銀行外匯及大宗商品策略師表示,從投資者角度看,眼下幾無持有黃金的理由。通脹預期的上升早已被美國國債收益的走高以及美聯儲加息在即等因素所抵消。只要實際收益率上升,另外也無嚴重通脹憂慮,金價便會走低。

 

今日黃金市場走勢分析

技術面。週四亞市早盤,黃金一度下探至1162美元,下跌近10美元,同時擊穿1170重要支撐。金價近期仍以低位為主,十日均線起到了阻力作用,而美元的表現將決定金價的反彈空間;日線上方關注10日均線1191美元/盎司附近的阻力,下方關注1150美元/盎司附近的支撐。

Risk disclosure statement and disclaimers of Trading Futures and Options
The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or options is substantial.  In some circumstances, you may sustain losses in excess of your initial margin funds.  Placing contingent orders, such as “stop-loss” or: stop-limit” orders, will not necessarily avoid loss.  Market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.  There is a possibility that any stop-loss order may be cancelled by a futures exchange due to various reasons including where orders are ‘out of price limits’ during a fluctuating market.  You should closely monitor your orders, as we may be unable to contact you in the event of cancellation.  You may be called upon at short notice to deposit additional margin funds.  If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated.  You will remain liable for any resulting deficit in your account.  You should therefore study and understand futures contracts and options before you trade and carefully consider whether such trading is suitable in the light of your own financial position and investment objectives.  If you trade options you should inform yourself of exercise and expiration procedures and your rights and obligations upon exercise or expiry. You should study carefully the Disclosure Statements of Local Futures on our website

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