Futures Focus

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衍生工具部 (Derivatives)
輝立期貨

Phone:
852 2277 6622

國際動態和重要資料

Thursday, March 30, 2017 Views2077

3月30日,歐洲時段,投資者主要關注歐元區的消費信心指數、經濟景氣指數以及德國CPI的資料。歐元區公佈的這些經濟資料將會給時段內歐元短線走勢方向提供指引。

紐約時段,美國重磅四季度GDP終值資料來襲,該資料將會對晚間各個品種的走勢帶來重要影響。在美聯儲官員密集發聲,市場對於美聯儲今年升息炒作熱烈之際,如果美國GDP終值再度上修,這勢必會使得美聯儲6月再度升息的預期升溫,這將會支撐美元。除了GDP資料,美國方面還會公佈初請失業金以及PCE物價指數兩項資料。

美聯儲官員還會發表講話,晚間美聯儲票委卡普蘭,以及美聯儲三號人物紐約聯儲主席杜德利還會發表言論,投資者也要密切關注。

週四(3月30日)亞市盤中,美元指數窄幅震盪,歐元兌美元窄幅震盪,英鎊兌美元窄幅震盪。

歐元,英鎊市場:

英國首相特雷莎·梅(Theresa May)已經在週三(3月29日)通過英國駐歐盟大使巴羅向歐洲理事會主席圖斯克(Donald Tusk)遞交了簽署好的脫歐意向書,這意味著英國脫離歐盟的進程將正式啟動。

面對此狀況,特雷莎·梅表示:全體英國人民已經走過了歷史性的一刻,現在大家已經沒有回頭路可走,唯一的走向就是繼續向前。與此同時,圖斯克也在網路社交媒體上如釋重負的發言稱:英國觸發《里斯本協議》第50條,這一刻在等待了9個月之後,終於到來了。

在週三英國駐歐大使遞交脫歐公函之際,英鎊兌美元3月29日觸及日高後迅速回落,走勢反復,之後在特雷莎·梅和圖斯克相對積極的言論措辭推動下小幅反彈至1.2440一線後開始橫盤整理,此前英國正式啟動脫歐,但沒有給英鎊帶來明確方向,稍早一度觸及八日低點1.2377,之後在確認觸動里斯本條約第50條,正式開始同歐盟為期兩年的脫歐磋商後,英鎊反彈至1.2478,位於過去六個月交投區間1.20—1.28的中部。

直至週四(3月30日)亞市早盤。不到1%的日內波幅,相比去年6月24日英國脫歐結果公佈當日市場出現的高達15%的巨震,英鎊匯率短線反應總體平淡。

但對於市場投資者來說,英國脫歐花了9個月的時間,從投票箱裡的令人驚訝結果,到議會兩院唇槍舌劍的口水戰,最終成為了白紙黑字的既定事實,這一流程的完結,其實恰恰代表著不確定性的排除,和前途的更加明朗化。因此,大家都很平靜地接受了這一結果,市場總體波瀾不驚,與去年6月“脫歐”公投結果出爐之處的市場巨震構成了鮮明的反差。

Risk disclosure statement and disclaimers of Trading Futures and Options
The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or options is substantial.  In some circumstances, you may sustain losses in excess of your initial margin funds.  Placing contingent orders, such as “stop-loss” or: stop-limit” orders, will not necessarily avoid loss.  Market conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders.  There is a possibility that any stop-loss order may be cancelled by a futures exchange due to various reasons including where orders are ‘out of price limits’ during a fluctuating market.  You should closely monitor your orders, as we may be unable to contact you in the event of cancellation.  You may be called upon at short notice to deposit additional margin funds.  If the required funds are not provided within the prescribed time, your position may be liquidated.  You will remain liable for any resulting deficit in your account.  You should therefore study and understand futures contracts and options before you trade and carefully consider whether such trading is suitable in the light of your own financial position and investment objectives.  If you trade options you should inform yourself of exercise and expiration procedures and your rights and obligations upon exercise or expiry. You should study carefully the Disclosure Statements of Local Futures on our website

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