Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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上試50天線

Monday, March 12, 2018 Views4176

上周指出恆指將延續下行態勢,可能下試100天線的支持.結果,受到特朗普總統宣布對進口鋼和鋁徵收關稅的消息打擊,恆指在上周一大幅下跌接近700點,再次跌穿100天線,最低見到29852.之後又傳出白宮高級經濟顧問科恩辭職的消息,為港股帶來沽壓.不過,經歷了這兩次震盪後,恆指拾級回升,上周五收報30996,按周上升413點,升幅1.4%.國指在上周一最低見到11965,周五收報12431,周升幅為1.9%.

 

美股上周亦呈現先低後高的走勢,道指在上周一最低跌至24387,周五收報25335,按周上升了3.2%,納指和標準普 爾500指數按周分別上升4.2%和3.5%.上周公布的美國經濟數據,大部分都優於市場預期,特別是就業數據.2月份非農業職位增加31.3萬份,是2016年7月以來最大單月增幅,遠多於預期的20.5萬份,而平均時薪僅上升0.1%,低於預期的0.2%增幅,顯示美國勞工市場進一步改善的同時,工資通脹仍維持溫和增長.

 

A股上周亦止跌回升,上證綜指和滬深300按周分別上升1.6%和2.3%,深證成指周升幅更達到3.1%.隨了受惠外圍回升帶動,兩會期間A股亦見展開維穩行情.經濟數據方面,中國2月份出口大幅增長36.2%,而進口則微降0.2%,顯示外貿延續回穩向好態勢.

 

說回港股,恆指100天線失而復得,周五更升回10天和20天線之上,9天相對強弱指數亦重越50中軸,顯示100天線再次發揮支持作用.恆指目前形成個敏感三角形走勢,本周料可上試三角形下降軌以至50天線阻力,50天線現時大約處於31220水平.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

 

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