Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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250天線最終將會失守

Monday, June 25, 2018 Views4434

中美貿易戰進一步升級,美國威脅要對中國2000億美元商品加徵10%關稅,中方立即作出強力回應,加上美歐貿易戰亦升溫,對環球股市造成衝擊.港股恆指失守30000大關,上周五跌近29000,最低見到29089,收報29339,相對前周下跌了970點,跌幅達3.2%,是連續第二周下跌.國指亦連跌兩周,上周五最低見到11245,收報11340,周跌幅達4.5%.

 

A股方面,上證綜指失守3000關口,上周五最低見到2837,收報2889,按周下跌4.4%;滬深300上周五最低見到3542,收報3608,按周下跌3.9%,深證成指上周五最低見到9172,收報9409,周跌幅達5.4%.除了憂慮中美貿易戰加劇,A股股票質押風險持續受到關注.統計數據顯示,截至6月22日,A股市場有3349家公司股票質押尚未解押,佔A股總數量的94.9%,股票質押總規模達5.36萬億元人民幣,其中質押比例超過50%的公司有128家,而且愈來愈多質押股觸及平倉線.

 

雖然近期公布的經濟數據顯示美國經濟維持強勁,但市場憂慮中美歐貿易戰升級,最終將拖累環球經濟,道指曾連跌八日,上周五終於止跌回升,但全周計數仍下跌達2%,是自今年3月23日以來最大單周跌幅.納指結束了連續四周的升勢,按周下跌0.3%.至於標準普爾500指數,則按周下跌0.9%.

 

說回港股,恆指已跌穿今年初低位29129,創出今年新低.雖然暫時守住250天線(29268)之上,但技術上已形成下行趨勢,相信250 天線和29000最終都會失守.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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