Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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繼續回補上升裂口

Monday, February 27, 2023 Views1580

上周評論指出,恆指將考驗50天線的支持,而該線失守機會甚大.若50天線確認失守,下一步將回補1月4日的上升裂口,該上升裂口闊20點,介於20213和20233之間.結果,這個上升裂口果被補回,恆指在上周五最低見到20007,收報20010,相對前周下跌了710點,跌幅3.4%,是連續第四周下跌.國指和科指也連跌四周,周跌幅分別為4.1%和5.8%.滬深股市上周初表現強勢,上證綜指曾多次上越3300,但周五明顯著弱,全周計數仍上升1.3%.至於深證成指和滬深300,則分別上升0.6%和0.7%.美國近期經濟數據大多偏強,對人民幣匯價構成壓力,在岸和離岸人民幣兌美元匯價齊創去年底以來的新低,為股市帶來沽壓.

美股方面,三大指數都錄得今年以來最大單周跌幅.其中,道指跌按近3%,是連續第四周下跌;標準普爾500指數和納指按周分別下跌2.7%和3.3%.1月份美國個人消費支出(PCE)物價指數按年和按月分別上升5.4%和0.6%,高於市場預期的5%和0.4%.剔除食品和能源價格後的核心指數按年和按月分別上升4.7%和0.6%,也高於市場預期的4.3%和0.4%.另一方面,1月份美國個人支出按月上升1.8%,高於預期的1.4%.上述數據公布後,令市場憂慮聯儲局加息時間會比預期更長,加息幅度會比預期更大.美國債息急升,2年期債息逼近4.7厘,而10年期債息則升越3厘.

說回港股,恆指上周五險守20000大關,逼近250天線,該線現時處於19990附近.相信20000關口和250天線將告失守,下一步將回補去年12月22日的上升裂口,該上升裂口介於19256和19476之間,尚差47點未補回.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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